Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.111340 0.119517 0.127987 0.137423 0.147645 0.158392 0.170556
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.096649 0.108473 0.121343 0.136418 0.153624 0.172691 0.195473
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.087557 0.101258 0.116676 0.135366 0.157479 0.182894 0.214440
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079678 0.094373 0.111357 0.132520 0.158300 0.188826 0.227921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075983 0.091918 0.110779 0.134868 0.164988 0.201627 0.249909
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070772 0.087174 0.106984 0.132829 0.165884 0.207047 0.262657
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066662 0.083468 0.104146 0.131651 0.167567 0.213268 0.276456
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062100 0.078896 0.099901 0.128330 0.166150 0.215219 0.284495
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.058782 0.075714 0.097222 0.126814 0.166886 0.219856 0.296160
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056551 0.073812 0.096069 0.127184 0.170053 0.227759 0.312541
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053579 0.070768 0.093234 0.125095 0.169683 0.230700 0.321976
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051370 0.068636 0.091502 0.124387 0.171116 0.236108 0.335067
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.050779 0.068740 0.092881 0.128160 0.179173 0.251455 0.363783
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048559 0.066496 0.090924 0.127132 0.180306 0.256910 0.378152
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046534 0.064426 0.089098 0.126165 0.181417 0.262292 0.392576
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044135 0.061716 0.086237 0.123535 0.179892 0.263602 0.400665
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043363 0.061302 0.086638 0.125704 0.185628 0.276092 0.426922
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041453 0.059150 0.084412 0.123820 0.185055 0.278799 0.437561
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039891 0.057445 0.082770 0.122731 0.185626 0.283258 0.451208
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037881 0.054998 0.079923 0.119661 0.182924 0.282360 0.455833
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036435 0.053344 0.078204 0.118259 0.182786 0.285525 0.467397
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035524 0.052463 0.077620 0.118602 0.185443 0.293313 0.487220
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034089 0.050730 0.075660 0.116670 0.184288 0.294724 0.495961